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Sunday, 16 June 2013

Think Right When You Bet

By Adam Withercroft


Most people does the same mistake when they are betting. They bet with their intuition, either do they have a favorite team, or a player, or a number. Or the worst, they "feel" the right bet.

Why is it that way? It goes way back, it's in our back bone. The ability to feel, and feel what to do, is the main reason humans have survived.

The evolution of human race hadn't come this far if it wasn't for the ability to make the right choices. And to back your choices up with something, you use the only measurement tool you had. Namely you feelings and senses.

So what the mumble has that to do with betting, you think? I'll explain.

As I said, the human race survived because of their ability to feel, but also by developing a mind that was able to learn form previous events. If a thing had worked before, it would work again, probably. And with the evolution to lean on, the individuals who was capable to make the best decisions in would survive.

It has therefore been an advantage to "feel" something about any decisions to make. The intuition has always been our best friend in the decision making processes.

But when you're applying this instinct to betting, this same intuition very often will lead you the wrong way. It will distract you from making proper decisions. This is because of the filter you see everything through, rather than see things as they actually are.

Starting to get it? You must do this instinct to your friend and use it instead of fight against it. To do so, you have to do research. Take real statistics and get everything black on white. That way you can make the right decisions and bets based on the true facts, and not what you "feel" is right. So what you really need is a statistics base. Because what happened in the past will repeat itself. Again and again.

Where can you find statistics? Think about it for a moment. You will probably come up with some useful sites, and remember that you have to find not only recent statistics, but also older stats will most likely be important too.

To help you out here there are some good programs that will make it easy to find the useful statistics. The one's that are good provides you with facts, and make it easy to know what to expect from those single events you want to bet on. Bets on real facts are the most secure way to win money on betting.




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