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Thursday, 7 February 2013

3 Steps To Profitable Stock Picking

By Koly Brient


Stock picking is an especially complex process and stockholders have disparate approaches. Nonetheless it is smart to follow general steps to minimize the danger of the investments. This article will outline these simple steps for picking high-performance stocks.

Step 1. Decide on the time-frame and the general strategy of the investment. This step is vital as it will dictate the type of stocks you buy.

Imagine you make a decision to be a long term investor, you would wish to find stocks that have sustainable competitive advantages together with stable growth. The key for finding these stocks is by taking a look at the historical performance of each stock during the last decades and do an easy business S.W.O.T. (Strength-weakness-opportunity-threat) analysis on the company.

If you make a decision to be a short term investor, you'd like to adhere to one of the following strategies:

a. Momentum Trading. This tactic is to look for stocks that increase in both price and volume over the recent past. Most technical analyses support this trading strategy. My information on this strategy is to search for stocks that have demonstrated stable and smooth rises in their prices. The idea is that when the stocks aren't erratic, you can simply ride the up-trend until the trend breaks.

b. Contrarian Strategy. This plan is to search for over-reactions in the exchange. Researches show that stock exchange is not always efficient, which means prices don't always exactly represent the values of the stocks. When a company publishes a bad news, folk panic and price frequently drops below the stock's fair value. To choose whether a stock over-reacted to a stories, you need to glance at the probability of recovery from the impact of the bad news. As an example, if the stock drops 20% after the company loses a legal case which has no permanent damages to the business's brand and product, you can be confident the market over-reacted. My information on this tactic is to discover a list of stocks that have latest drops in costs, analyze the capability for a reversal (through candlestick analysis). If the stocks demonstrate candlestick reversal patterns, I am going to go thru the recent reports to investigate the causes of the current price drops to determine the existence of over-sold prospects.

Step 2. Conduct researches that give you a selection of stocks that is consistent to your investment timeframe and plan. There are many stock screeners on the web that can help you find stocks according to your needs.

Step 3. After you have a list of stocks to buy, you'd need to diversify them in a fashion that gives the greatest reward/risk proportion. A technique to do this is conduct a Markowitz analysis for your portfolio. The analysis will give you the relative dimensions of money you need to allocate to each stock. This step is vital because diversification is probably one of the free-lunches in the investment world.

These steps should get you moving in your search to constantly earn cash in the exchange. They can deepen your knowledge about the financial markets, and would provide a sense of confidence that can help you to make better trading calls.




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